Know Unknown

Know Unknown

Event-Specific Inflection Points – More Frequent Than One Thinks Events happen. As a result, some of the most impactful occasions are scheduled – elections, black Friday, Fed meetings – so we know when to expect them. But anticipating their “directional effect” (i.e.,...
Is the Market Spooky?

Is the Market Spooky?

Is the Market Scared? One of the market’s main headscratchers: how can the same piece of news trigger opposite reactions? How can an announcement in employment numbers be interpreted as a positive sign of consumer strength, or, most likely, a negative sign of Fed...
Repricing Insurance

Repricing Insurance

Buying Insurance in the Equity Market Investing in equities is inherently risky, but the capital market offers alternatives to mitigate this downside. Diversification is well understood by most investors, but it’s a limited tool. Mixing bonds and stock, or maintaining...
The Amazing American Consumer

The Amazing American Consumer

In a Brittle Economy, the American Consumer Remains King In this series of Newsletters, we have covered different investment strategies using a spectrum of instruments, for example, directional as well as hedging strategies with options, currency tilts with ETFs and...
Sink or Swim Reloaded

Sink or Swim Reloaded

What If We Expect a Robust Rally or Deep Sell-Off?   At the start of the summer in Issue 1, Make or Break Summer for Stocks (July 20), we presented a “bifurcated outlook” strategy, which is based on investors’ expectations of either a strong rebound, (swim), or...