Lime Insights

Lime Insights

September 08, 2026

Kevin Warsh and the Return of Market-Priced Risk

Beyond Politics: Is Chairman Warsh Rewriting the Rules of U.S. Monetary Policy?

Lime Insights

September 02, 2026

Bessent v. the Bond Market: Who Prices Risk?

Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent's decision to expand planned buybacks..

Lime Insights

May 26, 2026

The Market’s Liquidity Cushion May Be Getting Tested

On a pure macro basis, the current equity market could arguably be trading at disproportionate levels.

Lime Insights

May 19, 2026

The Inflation Pipeline Is Increasing Pressure on the Fed

Headline inflation still looks uncomfortable, but not catastrophic...

Lime Insights

May 14, 2026

U.S. Has the Watch. Iran Has the Time. Markets Face Increasing...

We generally prefer to keep politics at the edge of market analysis, not at the center of it...

Lime Insights

May 05, 2026

The War Is Lasting Longer. Market Implications to Watch.

Before the conflict, our base case was already for a market that could trade sideways with wide top-to-bottom...

Lime Insights

April 24, 2026

Navigating a Rich Market in a Volatile Environment

One possible scenario for the stock market in the near term...

Lime Insights

April 21, 2026

Are Refiners Likely to Outperform — Even If Oil Stabilizes?

The oil and gas market is not a single trade. It is a supply chain — spanning production, refining, and...

Lime Insights

March 31, 2026

Gasoline as a Tax — Why Higher Pump Prices Hit Cyclical Stocks

A $1 move at the pump would redirect ~$50–60B from consumers to energy — compressing discretionary spending...

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